US Financial Debt Crisis: A Stochastic Optimal Control Approach
by Jerome Stein
Publisher: Springer 2012
ISBN/ASIN: 146143078X
ISBN-13: 9781461430780
Number of pages: 34
Description:
Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) is very helpful in understanding and predicting debt crises. The mathematical analysis is applied empirically to the financial debt crisis of 2008, the crises of the 1980s and concludes with an analysis of the European debt crisis. I use SOC to derive a theoretically founded quantitative measure of an optimal, and an excessive leverage/ debt/ risk that increases the probability of a crisis. The optimal leverage balances risk against expected growth. The environment is stochastic: the capital gain, productivity of capital and interest rate are stochastic variables, and for an insurance company, such as AIG, the claims are also stochastic. I associate the housing price bubble with the growth of household debt. A bubble is dangerous insofar as it induces a non-sustainable debt. This danger is exacerbated insofar as a complex financial system is based upon it.
Download or read it online for free here:
Download link
(430KB, PDF)
Similar books
Urban Travel Demand: A Behavioral Analysisby Tom Domencich, Daniel L. McFadden - North-Holland Publishing
'Urban Travel Demand' develops a theory of demand for populations of individual economic consumers which we believe is a logical and natural generalization of traditional theory to encompass choice among discrete alternatives.
(16802 views)
The Computation of Economic Equilibriaby Herbert Scarf - Yale University Press
Contents: Problem of Computing Equilibrium Prices; Determination of an Approximate Fixed Point of Continuous Mapping; Numerical Applications of Brouwer's Theorem; An Extension of the Algorithm; Computation of Equilibria in a General Walrasian Model.
(11436 views)
Production Economics: A Dual Approach to Theory and Applicationsby Melvyn Fuss, Daniel L. McFadden - North-Holland
Chapters: Cost, Revenue, and Profit Functions; Symmetric Duality and Polar Production Functions; Applications of Profit Functions; General Linear Profit Function; Duality, Intermediate Inputs and Value-Added; Hick's Aggregation Theorem; etc.
(13148 views)
Computable General Equilibrium Modeling for Regional Analysisby Eliecer E. Vargas, et al. - Regional Research Institute, WVU
CGE framework encompasses both the I-O and SAM frameworks by making demand and supply of commodities and factors dependent on prices. A CGE model simulates the working of a market economy in which prices and quantities adjust to clear all markets.
(10028 views)